CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-05-06T16:55:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-05-06T16:55ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/38722/-1
CME Note: Relatively fast, narrow eruption seen to the south-southeast in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and GOES CCOR-1 and farther to the east-southeast or directly southeast in STEREO A COR2; the CME is associated with a filament eruption taking place on the Earth-facing disk near S20W01 seen as a lifting off of dark plasma in GOES SUVI 304 and SDO AIA 304 around 2025-05-06T16:30Z with bright post-eruptive arcades, especially in SDO AIA 193.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-05-09T08:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 22.5%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: 47.65 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-05-07T08:21Z
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